Probabilistic Threat Hunting PTH
A series on hunting with probability: priors, likelihoods, and Bayesian updates applied to detection and investigation.
4 posts
- 01May 18, 2026
Probabilistic Hunting Chapter 1: Where Two Seas Meets … 13 min
“And it is He who has released the two seas, one fresh and sweet and one salty and bitter” — — Quran 25:53
- 02Jun 01, 2026
PTH Chapter 2: Foundations of Probability for Threat Hunting 9 min
“Indeed, all things We created with precise measure.” — Quran 54:49
- 03Jun 25, 2026
PTH Chapter 3: Baselining and Probabilistic Threat Hunting 13 min
“Say, observe what is in the heavens and the earth.”– Quran 10:101
- 04Oct 16, 2026
PTH Chapter 4: Mathematical Modeling for Threat Hunting 22 min
A Bayesian approach to learning from alerts: priors, likelihoods, posterior updates, and predictions for SOC detection rules.